Week 1 NFL Predictions Analysis
Week 1 NFL Predictions Recap and Methodology Update
Thank you for joining me on the excitement of this journey into a new methodology in predicting the outcomes of NFL games. As promised, here's a post to follow up on my Week 1 predictions where I tried out various approaches to try to refine the accuracy of my forecasts.
For the first 8 games, I applied my older, more traditional method. The results were a mixed bag, with 4 out of 8 correct predictions. Not too bad, but most definitely not where I hoped to be.
Then I flipped into another gear for the last 8 games, using a new formula I have been messing with. Well, this time, out of 8, I got 6 correct predictions. A solid improvement! That tells me that this new approach is encouraging but still has room to fine-tune and adjust.
Based on these results, I've made further changes to the formula to make it more accurate; I will be using this approach to the Week 2 predictions, which will be posted shortly. Just a word of caution again: This is an experimental method and can't be guaranteed. And it is absolutely important not to bet the house-or any substantial belongings-on the outcome of these predictions! But if you do make a little money be sure and remember to tip your astrologer!
Stay tuned for the next set of predictions, as I will continue to sharpen and adjust this methodology throughout the course of the NFL season. Enjoy your games, and here's to another great week of football!
Black - Projected Loss and Incorrect Prediction
Yellow - Projected Wins
Green - Correct Prediction
